Is it the End of Jobs?
Maybe and Maybe Not
I have compiled as many predictions about the end of jobs and work as I can find, with the help of ChatGPT. Interestingly, since 1964, experts have been predicting that workers will become virtual, remote, part-time, or even disappear altogether. LBJ was warned about the potential for mass job loss due to the advent of computers. Many predicted we would all be replaced by robots, etc. We are now predicting this again, but this time it's due to the use of AI.
What do you think? Timeline below.
Sure in 100-200 years. I suspect labor will be the cheaper option for a long time. We are certainly gonna see an automation impact on repetitive, mundane tasks so I expect the workforce to be forced to shift. But jobs going away completely? No way. As a society, I see us progressing more towards the Wall-E dystopia rather than I-Robot.
A problem with many of these predictions: too little psychology involved: what drives people, what do they (really not) need and want. Another serious shortcoming: ignoring the slow pace of the difficult implementation of general purpose technologies.