4 Comments

Love this Kevin. While it's challenging to predict with certainty which scenario will prevail, it's evident that artificial intelligence will play a pivotal role in transforming the recruiting landscape. As technology advances, automated systems and AI-driven apps will streamline the hiring process, providing powerful tools for sourcing, screening, and assessing candidates. However, it's important to remember that human judgment and decision-making will still be valued, and scenarios like the augmented function and talent concierges suggest a harmonious integration of AI and human involvement. As we both know, the key lies in adapting to these changes, embracing new technologies, and leveraging them alongside our expertise to create more efficient and effective recruiting practices.

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May 26Liked by Kevin Wheeler

Thank you, Kevin. These are very astute observations. At the same time, unless recruiting heads of large organizations are rewarded/promoted for recruiting efficiency as opposed to overseeing large numbers of onsite bodies, there will be a continued tendency to have substantial recruiting staffs, augmented by AI systems approved and purchased by those who aren't likely to have to use them (so they won't be very user-friendly- This is the case with many current ATS and recruiting tools). Based on the trends of the last few years: these recruiting staffers are likely to be young, inexperienced, low-paid, "eager-beaver" types unlikely to challenge the recruiting status quo, because (in my experience) most companies aren't looking for many the type of highly skilled, highly paid, high value-add Talent Concierge you mention.

I also believe that perhaps in a bit longer than 5 years: Scenario #4 is the likeliest, with the additional point that there are likely to be millions of unemployed and largely unemployable Americans to go along with the greatly decreased number of well-paid, FT, benfited positions, which will create fierce competition for those that do exist, along with the creation of a large, fearful, and resentful "precariat" and "grey" and "black" labor markets. Unless something like a massive infrastructure/public/works/ environmental conversion program and/or a universal basic income is implemented, America will have to deal with the prospect of millions/tens of millions of angry young (largely) men who have few if any better prospects, which is not a good thing for any society to have.

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May 26Liked by Kevin Wheeler

Love this, but the timeline is wrong. Talent AI copilots are already here like talloot and existing vendors are seeking to integrate quickly.

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I think we'll have "expert AI consultants" perhaps rather than Talent Concierges.

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